TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 9:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Natalie Moskova and Lujza Zimenova in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Natalie Moskova' if Natalie Moskova advances against Lujza Zimenova. This market will resolve to 'Lujza Zimenova' if Lujza Zimenova advances against Natalie Moskova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Natalie Moskova and Lujza Zimenova in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Natalie Moskova' if Natalie Moskova advances against Lujza Zimenova. This market will resolve to 'Lujza Zimenova' if Lujza Zimenova advances against Natalie Moskova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. Sometimes, you’ll find that prediction market prices align closely with sportsbook odds, suggesting a broad consensus. However, discrepancies can emerge if traders possess unique information or have differing opinions about the players’ chances in the Moskova-Zimenova tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Moskova-Zimenova tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. The current implied probabilities are determined by the share prices available for purchase.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Moskova-Zimenova tennis match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 20, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving either Natalie Moskova or Lujza Zimenova might also affect their perceived chances. Furthermore, any public statements from the players themselves, or their coaches, could provide valuable insights and impact trading activity. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely move this market.