TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nadezhda Shamenkova and Valeria Ifodi in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nadezhda Shamenkova' if Nadezhda Shamenkova advances against Valeria Ifodi. This market will resolve to 'Valeria Ifodi' if Valeria Ifodi advances against Nadezhda Shamenkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nadezhda Shamenkova and Valeria Ifodi in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nadezhda Shamenkova' if Nadezhda Shamenkova advances against Valeria Ifodi. This market will resolve to 'Valeria Ifodi' if Valeria Ifodi advances against Nadezhda Shamenkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Shamenkova vs Ifodi match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the market’s aggregate assessment of the likelihood of a particular result. Higher demand for shares indicating a specific outcome drives up the price, signaling increased confidence in that outcome. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shamenkova vs Ifodi match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and authoritative sources to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result. This ensures a transparent and reliable settlement process for all participants.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Major upsets in related matches or shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks might also prompt traders to reassess their positions. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either athlete winning the Shamenkova vs Ifodi match has the potential to move the market.