TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 9:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Horvit and Lana Virc in the W15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Horvit' if Mia Horvit advances against Lana Virc. This market will resolve to 'Lana Virc' if Lana Virc advances against Mia Horvit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Horvit and Lana Virc in the W15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Horvit' if Mia Horvit advances against Lana Virc. This market will resolve to 'Lana Virc' if Lana Virc advances against Mia Horvit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket, potentially causing the odds to diverge from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. This dynamic can lead to more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Horvit vs Virc match. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and reduces the implied probability. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mia Horvit vs Lana Virc match, as reported by the governing sporting body. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result. It’s important to monitor the event closely as Oct 21, 2026 approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final outcome.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Mia Horvit or Lana Virc, or changes in coaching strategies could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected match scheduling changes or controversies surrounding the event could also play a role. Additionally, significant betting activity or analysis from respected sports commentators could impact the price of shares on Polymarket, leading to fluctuations in the implied probability of each outcome.