TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maja Pawelska and Jessica Laura Pabisiak in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maja Pawelska' if Maja Pawelska advances against Jessica Laura Pabisiak. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Laura Pabisiak' if Jessica Laura Pabisiak advances against Maja Pawelska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maja Pawelska and Jessica Laura Pabisiak in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maja Pawelska' if Maja Pawelska advances against Jessica Laura Pabisiak. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Laura Pabisiak' if Jessica Laura Pabisiak advances against Maja Pawelska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, signaling a growing expectation of that result. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Bol match between Maja Pawelska and Jessica Laura Pabisiak. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the event’s progress and the eventual resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts impacting the match could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics will be key to understanding potential catalysts for shifts in this market.