TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 7:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maja Pawelska and Aleksandra Janiszewska in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maja Pawelska' if Maja Pawelska advances against Aleksandra Janiszewska. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandra Janiszewska' if Aleksandra Janiszewska advances against Maja Pawelska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maja Pawelska and Aleksandra Janiszewska in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maja Pawelska' if Maja Pawelska advances against Aleksandra Janiszewska. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandra Janiszewska' if Aleksandra Janiszewska advances against Maja Pawelska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market’s odds are driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it might indicate differing opinions on the likely result of the Pawelska vs Janiszewska match, or that one venue has incorporated information the other hasn’t.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Pawelska vs Janiszewska match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is derived from the share price, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. The total volume traded provides insight into the market's confidence in the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pawelska vs Janiszewska match as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand the factors that will finalize this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant performance updates for either Maja Pawelska or Aleksandra Janiszewska could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket could indicate informed traders taking positions based on new information, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential price movements.