TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 3:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Liv Sumak and Jessica Laura Pabisiak in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liv Sumak' if Liv Sumak advances against Jessica Laura Pabisiak. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Laura Pabisiak' if Jessica Laura Pabisiak advances against Liv Sumak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Liv Sumak and Jessica Laura Pabisiak in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liv Sumak' if Liv Sumak advances against Jessica Laura Pabisiak. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Laura Pabisiak' if Jessica Laura Pabisiak advances against Liv Sumak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts, reflecting the collective forecast. The market’s efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately predict the event’s outcome, as correct predictions yield profits.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Liv Sumak vs Jessica Pabisiak match will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the sport, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports commentators and experts could also impact the market, especially if it challenges prevailing assumptions. Significant betting activity, even outside of Polymarket, might also cause price adjustments as traders react to broader market information. Unexpected announcements related to the event itself could also move the market.