TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 10:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lea Sabadi and Gloria De Santis in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lea Sabadi' if Lea Sabadi advances against Gloria De Santis. This market will resolve to 'Gloria De Santis' if Gloria De Santis advances against Lea Sabadi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lea Sabadi and Gloria De Santis in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lea Sabadi' if Lea Sabadi advances against Gloria De Santis. This market will resolve to 'Gloria De Santis' if Gloria De Santis advances against Lea Sabadi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate a disagreement about the true probability of either fighter winning. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information and perspectives that sportsbooks may overlook, leading to potentially more accurate forecasts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. Currently, the market indicates a strong likelihood of a specific outcome, but this can change as new information becomes available and more traders engage with this market.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sabadi vs De Santis match, as determined by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will then verify the result and settle the market accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or updates on their physical condition could significantly shift predictions. Public statements from coaches or analysts, as well as any shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected developments leading up to the match, such as changes in venue or scheduling, could also introduce volatility and cause the market to react accordingly.