TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lea Sabadi and Aleksandra Janiszewska in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:39AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lea Sabadi' if Lea Sabadi advances against Aleksandra Janiszewska. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandra Janiszewska' if Aleksandra Janiszewska advances against Lea Sabadi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lea Sabadi and Aleksandra Janiszewska in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:39AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lea Sabadi' if Lea Sabadi advances against Aleksandra Janiszewska. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandra Janiszewska' if Aleksandra Janiszewska advances against Lea Sabadi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast for the Sabadi vs Janiszewska match. This contrasts with static odds offered by traditional bookmakers.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Bol match between Lea Sabadi and Aleksandra Janiszewska, as declared by the governing body of the competition. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially recognized as the winner of the match. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered in the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions affecting the match could all play a role. Unexpected announcements about player form or fitness could also lead to significant price movements. Public sentiment, reflected in social media discussions and expert analysis, can also impact trading behavior. Any information that alters perceptions of the players’ chances of winning is likely to move this market before Oct 19, 2026.