TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:04 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Laura Pabisiak and Theresa Stabauer in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Laura Pabisiak' if Jessica Laura Pabisiak advances against Theresa Stabauer. This market will resolve to 'Theresa Stabauer' if Theresa Stabauer advances against Jessica Laura Pabisiak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Laura Pabisiak and Theresa Stabauer in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Laura Pabisiak' if Jessica Laura Pabisiak advances against Theresa Stabauer. This market will resolve to 'Theresa Stabauer' if Theresa Stabauer advances against Jessica Laura Pabisiak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to balance their risk and ensure profitability, while this market allows individuals to express their own beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public information or debate surrounding the event. Examining these differences can provide insights into where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating probabilities for the Pabisiak vs Stabauer match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Pabisiak vs Stabauer match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds remain responsive to changing conditions and reflect the latest collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pabisiak vs Stabauer match as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome will be considered the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments in the athletes’ preparation could shift trader sentiment. Public commentary from analysts or experts, as well as significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, might also impact the odds. Unexpected results in related matches or tournaments could also create a ripple effect, influencing how traders assess the probabilities for the Pabisiak vs Stabauer match.