TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilinca Sagmar and Lujza Zimenova in the W15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilinca Sagmar' if Ilinca Sagmar advances against Lujza Zimenova. This market will resolve to 'Lujza Zimenova' if Lujza Zimenova advances against Ilinca Sagmar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilinca Sagmar and Lujza Zimenova in the W15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilinca Sagmar' if Ilinca Sagmar advances against Lujza Zimenova. This market will resolve to 'Lujza Zimenova' if Lujza Zimenova advances against Ilinca Sagmar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to unexpected developments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is visible on the dashboard, allowing you to gauge market sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sagmar vs Zimenova match. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected announcements related to either Ilinca Sagmar or Lujza Zimenova could significantly shift trader sentiment. Additionally, shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also impact the market. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to price movements in this market.