TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 7:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Greta Nemcsek and Gloria De Santis in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Greta Nemcsek' if Greta Nemcsek advances against Gloria De Santis. This market will resolve to 'Gloria De Santis' if Gloria De Santis advances against Greta Nemcsek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Greta Nemcsek and Gloria De Santis in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Greta Nemcsek' if Greta Nemcsek advances against Gloria De Santis. This market will resolve to 'Gloria De Santis' if Gloria De Santis advances against Greta Nemcsek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Nemcsek vs De Santis match, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket, potentially causing the odds to diverge from those offered by sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Nemcsek vs De Santis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the collective intelligence of the traders participating on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nemcsek vs De Santis match, as reported by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand how the outcome will be determined.
Several signals or events could influence trading activity in this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected match conditions for either Greta Nemcsek or Gloria De Santis could significantly shift the odds. Publicly available analysis from sports commentators or experts offering strong opinions on the likely winner could also drive trading volume and price movements. Unexpected results in related matches or tournaments could also indirectly influence traders' perceptions and impact the market.