TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 10:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eliska Tichackova and Andrea Obradovic in the W15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eliska Tichackova' if Eliska Tichackova advances against Andrea Obradovic. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Obradovic' if Andrea Obradovic advances against Eliska Tichackova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eliska Tichackova and Andrea Obradovic in the W15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eliska Tichackova' if Eliska Tichackova advances against Andrea Obradovic. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Obradovic' if Andrea Obradovic advances against Eliska Tichackova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability as assessed by traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those seen in this market, it could indicate that prediction market traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that they have access to information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with no central bookmaker setting the odds. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in response to changing circumstances.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tichackova vs Obradovic match, as reported by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. This ensures a clear and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact the perceived likelihood of their success. Major announcements related to the competition itself, such as changes to the playing surface or scheduling adjustments, could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to move this market.