TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 12:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Didi Bredberg Canizares and Ilinca Sagmar in the W15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Didi Bredberg Canizares' if Didi Bredberg Canizares advances against Ilinca Sagmar. This market will resolve to 'Ilinca Sagmar' if Ilinca Sagmar advances against Didi Bredberg Canizares. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Didi Bredberg Canizares and Ilinca Sagmar in the W15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Didi Bredberg Canizares' if Didi Bredberg Canizares advances against Ilinca Sagmar. This market will resolve to 'Ilinca Sagmar' if Ilinca Sagmar advances against Didi Bredberg Canizares. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the probabilities implied by this market and those offered by sportsbooks, arbitrage opportunities may arise for informed traders. It's important to note that prediction market odds can change rapidly based on new information and trading activity.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a specific player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that player, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on the platform, creating a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Didi Bredberg vs Ilinca Sagmar match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout equivalent to 1 minus the commission, while those holding shares in the losing player will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches, or even broader trends in player performance, might also lead to adjustments in the probabilities. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also play a role, though this market represents the aggregated predictions of informed traders rather than relying solely on external forecasts.