TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Gorska and Mariya Yemshanova in the W15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Gorska' if Daria Gorska advances against Mariya Yemshanova. This market will resolve to 'Mariya Yemshanova' if Mariya Yemshanova advances against Daria Gorska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Gorska and Mariya Yemshanova in the W15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Gorska' if Daria Gorska advances against Mariya Yemshanova. This market will resolve to 'Mariya Yemshanova' if Mariya Yemshanova advances against Daria Gorska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If sportsbook odds initially favor one player, but a significant number of traders on Polymarket believe the other player has a higher chance of winning, the price will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds-makers, particularly as an event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, offering a real-time assessment of the likely winner of the Gorska vs Yemshanova match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gorska vs Yemshanova match as reported by the governing body for this competition. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is confirmed and the market is settled on Polymarket. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or fitness levels are also likely to cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create momentum and move the market. Monitoring news sources and keeping an eye on trading activity will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the odds for the Gorska vs Yemshanova match.