TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 9:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aurora Nosei and Vanesa Mrazova in the W15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aurora Nosei' if Aurora Nosei advances against Vanesa Mrazova. This market will resolve to 'Vanesa Mrazova' if Vanesa Mrazova advances against Aurora Nosei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aurora Nosei and Vanesa Mrazova in the W15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aurora Nosei' if Aurora Nosei advances against Vanesa Mrazova. This market will resolve to 'Vanesa Mrazova' if Vanesa Mrazova advances against Aurora Nosei. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's potential results. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and evolving sentiment surrounding the Aurora Nosei vs Vanesa Mrazova match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Aurora Nosei vs Vanesa Mrazova match as reported by the governing sporting body. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result, as this will be the basis for settlement on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 28, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about either Aurora Nosei or Vanesa Mrazova’s condition or performance could significantly impact the odds. Public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also play a role, as traders react to perceived shifts in the likelihood of either athlete winning the match. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding potential market movements.