TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 7:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Obradovic and Daria Gorska in the W15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Obradovic' if Andrea Obradovic advances against Daria Gorska. This market will resolve to 'Daria Gorska' if Daria Gorska advances against Andrea Obradovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Obradovic and Daria Gorska in the W15 Bol, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Obradovic' if Andrea Obradovic advances against Daria Gorska. This market will resolve to 'Daria Gorska' if Daria Gorska advances against Andrea Obradovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, while sportsbooks may factor in profit margins or biases. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move faster to incorporate new information, particularly breaking news. It's important to compare both sources when forming your own opinion on the likely outcome of this market, but remember that prediction markets often provide a more refined probability assessment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders on Polymarket, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each player winning the match. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Bol match between Andrea Obradovic and Daria Gorska, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact confidence levels. Furthermore, major announcements related to the tournament itself, such as weather delays or rule changes, could introduce volatility. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.