TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alisa Garifullina and Serena Paris in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Garifullina' if Alisa Garifullina advances against Serena Paris. This market will resolve to 'Serena Paris' if Serena Paris advances against Alisa Garifullina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alisa Garifullina and Serena Paris in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Garifullina' if Alisa Garifullina advances against Serena Paris. This market will resolve to 'Serena Paris' if Serena Paris advances against Alisa Garifullina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into where the market believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the outcome of the Garifullina vs Paris match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Garifullina vs Paris match, as reported by the governing body for the sport. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets based on the confirmed outcome of this event.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Publicly released analyses from sports experts, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, might also influence the price of shares. Unexpected weather conditions, if the match is outdoors, could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning has the potential to move this market.