TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Biot and Lavinia Guerresco in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Biot' if Alexandra Biot advances against Lavinia Guerresco. This market will resolve to 'Lavinia Guerresco' if Lavinia Guerresco advances against Alexandra Biot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Biot and Lavinia Guerresco in the W15 Bol, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Biot' if Alexandra Biot advances against Lavinia Guerresco. This market will resolve to 'Lavinia Guerresco' if Lavinia Guerresco advances against Alexandra Biot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is visible on the dashboard, allowing you to gauge market sentiment regarding the Biot vs Guerresco match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alexandra Biot versus Lavinia Guerresco match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament news, might also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts that could move this market.