TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rosie Cho and Mayuka Aikawa in the W100 Wrexham, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rosie Cho' if Rosie Cho advances against Mayuka Aikawa. This market will resolve to 'Mayuka Aikawa' if Mayuka Aikawa advances against Rosie Cho. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rosie Cho and Mayuka Aikawa in the W100 Wrexham, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rosie Cho' if Rosie Cho advances against Mayuka Aikawa. This market will resolve to 'Mayuka Aikawa' if Mayuka Aikawa advances against Rosie Cho. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when there's strong public sentiment or information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news and developments related to the Wrexham tennis match. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wrexham tennis match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand how the event is unfolding and its potential impact on the market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for Rosie Cho or Mayuka Aikawa could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event might also affect confidence in either player. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely cause movement in this market.