TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 8:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rebecca Sramkova and Noemi Basiletti in the W100 Wrexham, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rebecca Sramkova' if Rebecca Sramkova advances against Noemi Basiletti. This market will resolve to 'Noemi Basiletti' if Noemi Basiletti advances against Rebecca Sramkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rebecca Sramkova and Noemi Basiletti in the W100 Wrexham, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rebecca Sramkova' if Rebecca Sramkova advances against Noemi Basiletti. This market will resolve to 'Noemi Basiletti' if Noemi Basiletti advances against Rebecca Sramkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has more informed traders. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing means the odds are constantly adjusting based on the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market, making it a fascinating indicator of expectations for the Sramkova vs Basiletti match.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sramkova vs Basiletti match as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. This ensures a transparent and verifiable process for settling the market.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also significantly impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed individuals could also cause noticeable shifts in the market price, reflecting new information or a change in sentiment regarding the Sramkova vs Basiletti match.