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410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
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5
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 3:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marina Bassols Ribera and Caroline Werner in the W100 Wrexham, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marina Bassols Ribera' if Marina Bassols Ribera advances against Caroline Werner. This market will resolve to 'Caroline Werner' if Caroline Werner advances against Marina Bassols Ribera. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marina Bassols Ribera and Caroline Werner in the W100 Wrexham, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marina Bassols Ribera' if Marina Bassols Ribera advances against Caroline Werner. This market will resolve to 'Caroline Werner' if Caroline Werner advances against Marina Bassols Ribera. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome. As more shares are bought for a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, and the market aims to converge towards a true probability assessment as new information becomes available. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wrexham tennis match between Marina Bassols Ribera and Caroline Werner. This means that the winner as declared by the official tournament organizers will determine which outcome resolves positively. It’s important to note that the platform relies on publicly available information to determine the outcome and does not rely on any subjective judgment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role, as could any changes in the tournament schedule. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, may also impact trading behavior. Ultimately, any new information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely cause movement in this market.