TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 8:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carole Monnet and Lucie Havlickova in the W100 Wrexham, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carole Monnet' if Carole Monnet advances against Lucie Havlickova. This market will resolve to 'Lucie Havlickova' if Lucie Havlickova advances against Carole Monnet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carole Monnet and Lucie Havlickova in the W100 Wrexham, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carole Monnet' if Carole Monnet advances against Lucie Havlickova. This market will resolve to 'Lucie Havlickova' if Lucie Havlickova advances against Carole Monnet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within each venue. It’s important to compare and contrast to inform your own assessment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The more shares purchased for a specific player, the higher the price will climb, indicating increased confidence in their victory in the Wrexham tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Wrexham tennis match between Carole Monnet and Lucie Havlickova. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available and widely accepted sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the players’ preparation or strategy could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, general tennis news and analysis, as well as public opinion, may play a role in shaping the market’s movement. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential shifts in the probabilities surrounding the Wrexham tennis match.