TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 5:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Madison Brengle in the W100 Templeton, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tatjana Maria' if Tatjana Maria advances against Madison Brengle. This market will resolve to 'Madison Brengle' if Madison Brengle advances against Tatjana Maria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Madison Brengle in the W100 Templeton, CA, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tatjana Maria' if Tatjana Maria advances against Madison Brengle. This market will resolve to 'Madison Brengle' if Madison Brengle advances against Tatjana Maria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a player has a higher chance of winning than the sportsbook implies, the price for that outcome will rise in this market. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each player winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective assessment of the match's potential result. The market’s price isn’t determined by any single entity but emerges from the interactions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Templeton tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Madison Brengle. The player who wins the match will be declared the winner of this market, and shares in that outcome will pay out. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also have an impact. Furthermore, large volume trades from influential participants could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a strong conviction about the likely winner of the Templeton tennis match.