TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuki Naito and Caroline Dolehide in the W100 New Braunfels, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuki Naito' if Yuki Naito advances against Caroline Dolehide. This market will resolve to 'Caroline Dolehide' if Caroline Dolehide advances against Yuki Naito. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yuki Naito and Caroline Dolehide in the W100 New Braunfels, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuki Naito' if Yuki Naito advances against Caroline Dolehide. This market will resolve to 'Caroline Dolehide' if Caroline Dolehide advances against Yuki Naito. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, analytical approaches, or simply varying opinions on the players' chances. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or injury updates.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Naito vs Dolehide match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares of a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants, providing a real-time assessment of the match's potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Naito vs Dolehide match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the confirmed outcome of the match. The final result will be used to determine which shares pay out.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected announcements related to either Yuki Naito or Caroline Dolehide could cause shifts in the odds. Updates on their recent performance in other matches, coaching changes, or even weather forecasts for New Braunfels, TX, could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one outcome – could quickly move the market, reflecting a change in perceived probabilities as traders react to new information or insights.