TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sonja Zhiyenbayeva and Connie Ma in the W100 New Braunfels, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sonja Zhiyenbayeva' if Sonja Zhiyenbayeva advances against Connie Ma. This market will resolve to 'Connie Ma' if Connie Ma advances against Sonja Zhiyenbayeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sonja Zhiyenbayeva and Connie Ma in the W100 New Braunfels, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sonja Zhiyenbayeva' if Sonja Zhiyenbayeva advances against Connie Ma. This market will resolve to 'Connie Ma' if Connie Ma advances against Sonja Zhiyenbayeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public perception clashes with expert analysis. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd and the experts diverge in their expectations for the Zhiyenbayeva vs Ma match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Zhiyenbayeva vs Ma match. The price of each share reflects the market's current probability assessment of that outcome. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will buy shares, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and opinions.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W100 New Braunfels, TX match between Sonja Zhiyenbayeva and Connie Ma. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result of the match. The final price of the shares will reflect the confirmed outcome, and traders will be paid out accordingly based on their holdings.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also impact sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. General shifts in public opinion or analysis from tennis experts could also contribute to changes in the market's assessment of the Zhiyenbayeva vs Ma match’s likely outcome.