TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 3:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Natalie Kha and Diae El Jardi in the W100 New Braunfels, TX, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Natalie Kha' if Natalie Kha advances against Diae El Jardi. This market will resolve to 'Diae El Jardi' if Diae El Jardi advances against Natalie Kha. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Natalie Kha and Diae El Jardi in the W100 New Braunfels, TX, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Natalie Kha' if Natalie Kha advances against Diae El Jardi. This market will resolve to 'Diae El Jardi' if Diae El Jardi advances against Natalie Kha. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Natalie Kha vs Diae El Jardi match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a growing belief in its likelihood. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic process ensures that the market price constantly adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Natalie Kha vs Diae El Jardi match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the event organizers. This includes verifying the winner of the match based on the official scorecard or decision. The platform will then use this information to settle the market and distribute payouts to traders who correctly predicted the result.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Natalie Kha or Diae El Jardi would likely cause a shift in odds. Updates on their training regimens, weight class status, or recent performance in sparring sessions could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, any public statements from the fighters or their coaches, or changes in expert analysis regarding their chances of winning the match, could move the market. Unexpected changes in the fight’s location or scheduling could also introduce volatility.