TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 3:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Kononova and Josephine Kunz in the W100 New Braunfels, TX, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Kononova' if Maria Kononova advances against Josephine Kunz. This market will resolve to 'Josephine Kunz' if Josephine Kunz advances against Maria Kononova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Kononova and Josephine Kunz in the W100 New Braunfels, TX, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Kononova' if Maria Kononova advances against Josephine Kunz. This market will resolve to 'Josephine Kunz' if Josephine Kunz advances against Maria Kononova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
It’s common to see differences between prediction market odds and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights, but remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result of the Kononova vs Kunz match.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kononova vs Kunz match as reported by the governing sports organization. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. It’s important to note that the platform’s process focuses on verifying the outcome, not on predicting it.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and, consequently, the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players’ form or any controversies surrounding the match could also lead to significant shifts in the market. Monitoring these types of signals, alongside general sports analysis, can help you understand potential movements in this market before Nov 3, 2026.