TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 3:22 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Kononova and Barbora Palicova in the W100 New Braunfels, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Kononova' if Maria Kononova advances against Barbora Palicova. This market will resolve to 'Barbora Palicova' if Barbora Palicova advances against Maria Kononova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Kononova and Barbora Palicova in the W100 New Braunfels, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Kononova' if Maria Kononova advances against Barbora Palicova. This market will resolve to 'Barbora Palicova' if Barbora Palicova advances against Maria Kononova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market evolves as participants buy and sell contracts, expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be insightful, though it’s important to remember they represent different types of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Kononova vs Palicova match. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share in the potential payout if their predicted outcome occurs.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kononova vs Palicova match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding the winning contract will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift traders’ perceptions of the likely outcome. Unexpected results in prior matches for either player, or shifts in public opinion based on expert analysis, could also lead to price movements. Major upsets or particularly dominant performances in lead-up events are also likely to affect the market.