TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 3:22 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kristina Penickova and Astra Sharma in the W100 New Braunfels, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kristina Penickova' if Kristina Penickova advances against Astra Sharma. This market will resolve to 'Astra Sharma' if Astra Sharma advances against Kristina Penickova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kristina Penickova and Astra Sharma in the W100 New Braunfels, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kristina Penickova' if Kristina Penickova advances against Astra Sharma. This market will resolve to 'Astra Sharma' if Astra Sharma advances against Kristina Penickova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs directly. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has a more informed participant base. It's common to see initial odds diverge, then converge as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price can fluctuate rapidly based on new information or changes in sentiment. The more shares bought for a particular outcome, the higher its price, and the greater the implied probability.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Penickova vs Sharma match, as determined by the governing body of the tournament. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in broader tennis betting sentiment can impact the price. Monitoring news sources and observing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential catalysts for price changes in this market.