TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 7:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ella McDonald and Elvina Kalieva in the W100 New Braunfels, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ella McDonald' if Ella McDonald advances against Elvina Kalieva. This market will resolve to 'Elvina Kalieva' if Elvina Kalieva advances against Ella McDonald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ella McDonald and Elvina Kalieva in the W100 New Braunfels, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ella McDonald' if Ella McDonald advances against Elvina Kalieva. This market will resolve to 'Elvina Kalieva' if Elvina Kalieva advances against Ella McDonald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the insights of their own experts, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individuals. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, but discrepancies can occur due to differing information or biases. It’s useful to compare the implied probabilities from both sources to gain a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W100 New Braunfels, TX tennis match between Ella McDonald and Elvina Kalieva. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in player form could cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or even broader tournament upsets, could also impact market sentiment. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations, potentially leading to price movements in this market.