TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 2:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Deniz Dilek and Lexington Reed in the W100 New Braunfels, TX, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Deniz Dilek' if Deniz Dilek advances against Lexington Reed. This market will resolve to 'Lexington Reed' if Lexington Reed advances against Deniz Dilek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Deniz Dilek and Lexington Reed in the W100 New Braunfels, TX, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Deniz Dilek' if Deniz Dilek advances against Lexington Reed. This market will resolve to 'Lexington Reed' if Lexington Reed advances against Deniz Dilek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among participants or the incorporation of unique data points not considered by sportsbooks. Examining these differences can reveal insights into public perception and potential value opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those participating and provides a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dilek vs Reed match, as determined by the relevant sporting authority. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their shareholdings in the corresponding market. The process is designed to be transparent and objective, ensuring a fair and accurate settlement for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimes, or even weather conditions could shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the players' form or strategy could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public opinion, as reflected in other polls or analyses, could trigger price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders seeking to capitalize on potential opportunities.