TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 4:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Chukwumelije Clarke and Allura Zamarripa in the W100 New Braunfels, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chukwumelije Clarke' if Chukwumelije Clarke advances against Allura Zamarripa. This market will resolve to 'Allura Zamarripa' if Allura Zamarripa advances against Chukwumelije Clarke. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Chukwumelije Clarke and Allura Zamarripa in the W100 New Braunfels, TX, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chukwumelije Clarke' if Chukwumelije Clarke advances against Allura Zamarripa. This market will resolve to 'Allura Zamarripa' if Allura Zamarripa advances against Chukwumelije Clarke. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event as determined by traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market’s life. These differences can arise from varying levels of expertise among participants, access to unique information, or simply differing risk appetites. This market may offer a distinct perspective on the likely outcome compared to conventional betting options.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand; there’s no central authority setting the odds. This allows the collective wisdom of the crowd to shape the perceived probability of each possible result in the Clarke vs Zamarripa match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Clarke vs Zamarripa match, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. This includes confirmation of the winner of the bout. The platform will then determine the payout based on the final outcome and the shares held by each trader. It's important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available, verifiable information to ensure a fair and accurate settlement.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, injuries, or changes in their coaching staff could significantly impact the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Unexpected announcements about the fight’s location or rules could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create momentum and move the price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Nov 4, 2026.