TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 2:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Astra Sharma and Olivia Lincer in the W100 New Braunfels, TX, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Astra Sharma' if Astra Sharma advances against Olivia Lincer. This market will resolve to 'Olivia Lincer' if Olivia Lincer advances against Astra Sharma. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Astra Sharma and Olivia Lincer in the W100 New Braunfels, TX, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Astra Sharma' if Astra Sharma advances against Olivia Lincer. This market will resolve to 'Olivia Lincer' if Olivia Lincer advances against Astra Sharma. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and isn't influenced by external factors or other venues.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W100 New Braunfels, TX match between Astra Sharma and Olivia Lincer. The platform will verify the final result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. The specific details of the match result will be used to determine the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event, or even weather forecasts impacting playing surfaces, might also cause price adjustments. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and any significant betting activity observed elsewhere could also contribute to movement in this market.