TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 4:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ye Ryeong Jo and Meiqi Guo in the W100 Incheon, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ye Ryeong Jo' if Ye Ryeong Jo advances against Meiqi Guo. This market will resolve to 'Meiqi Guo' if Meiqi Guo advances against Ye Ryeong Jo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ye Ryeong Jo and Meiqi Guo in the W100 Incheon, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ye Ryeong Jo' if Ye Ryeong Jo advances against Meiqi Guo. This market will resolve to 'Meiqi Guo' if Meiqi Guo advances against Ye Ryeong Jo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies, and discrepancies can occur due to varying information and biases.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly. The current implied probability of a specific outcome is visible on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W100 Incheon tennis match between Ye Ryeong Jo and Meiqi Guo, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or even significant shifts in public sentiment could cause the odds to move. Unexpected performance in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from analysts regarding player form, could also impact trading activity. A strong showing by one player in a practice session or a notable upset in a related match could also shift trader expectations and alter the price of shares in this market.