TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 7:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yeonwoo Ku and Arantxa Rus in the W100 Edmond, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yeonwoo Ku' if Yeonwoo Ku advances against Arantxa Rus. This market will resolve to 'Arantxa Rus' if Arantxa Rus advances against Yeonwoo Ku. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yeonwoo Ku and Arantxa Rus in the W100 Edmond, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yeonwoo Ku' if Yeonwoo Ku advances against Arantxa Rus. This market will resolve to 'Arantxa Rus' if Arantxa Rus advances against Yeonwoo Ku. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to adjust probabilities based on new information and their own analysis. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed bettors, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees of the outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, offering a real-time assessment of the Ku vs Rus match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ku vs Rus match, as declared by the tournament organizers. This includes verifying the winner of the match against official sources. The platform will then determine the payout to those who correctly predicted the outcome, based on the share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Ku or Rus, or changes in weather conditions at the tournament location could all impact predictions. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader shifts in public sentiment, could also contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into how the market is reacting to new information and potentially identify trading opportunities.