TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 3:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thea Frodin and Maria Berlanga Bandera in the W100 Edmond, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thea Frodin' if Thea Frodin advances against Maria Berlanga Bandera. This market will resolve to 'Maria Berlanga Bandera' if Maria Berlanga Bandera advances against Thea Frodin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thea Frodin and Maria Berlanga Bandera in the W100 Edmond, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thea Frodin' if Thea Frodin advances against Maria Berlanga Bandera. This market will resolve to 'Maria Berlanga Bandera' if Maria Berlanga Bandera advances against Thea Frodin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance betting action and ensure profitability, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or changing circumstances than traditional betting venues, as traders continuously update their forecasts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic process ensures that the market price constantly adjusts to incorporate new information and changing expectations regarding the Frodin vs Berlanga match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Frodin vs Berlanga match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The specific winner of the match will determine which outcome resolves positively. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments in the athletes’ training regimens could shift trader sentiment. Publicly released analysis from sports commentators or experts could also impact the market, especially if it challenges prevailing expectations. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could draw attention to this market and potentially influence trading behavior. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match could also play a role.