TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 2:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Johnson and McKenna Schaefbauer in the W100 Edmond, OK, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Johnson' if Sofia Johnson advances against McKenna Schaefbauer. This market will resolve to 'McKenna Schaefbauer' if McKenna Schaefbauer advances against Sofia Johnson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Johnson and McKenna Schaefbauer in the W100 Edmond, OK, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Johnson' if Sofia Johnson advances against McKenna Schaefbauer. This market will resolve to 'McKenna Schaefbauer' if McKenna Schaefbauer advances against Sofia Johnson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. Analyzing these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Johnson vs Schaefbauer match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or significant shifts in public perception could cause traders to reassess their positions. Unexpected results in related matches, or even weather conditions impacting the event, could also play a role. Monitoring these signals and understanding their potential impact is key to navigating this market effectively.