TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sloane Stephens and Kristina Liutova in the W100 Edmond, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sloane Stephens' if Sloane Stephens advances against Kristina Liutova. This market will resolve to 'Kristina Liutova' if Kristina Liutova advances against Sloane Stephens. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sloane Stephens and Kristina Liutova in the W100 Edmond, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sloane Stephens' if Sloane Stephens advances against Kristina Liutova. This market will resolve to 'Kristina Liutova' if Kristina Liutova advances against Sloane Stephens. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring, as determined by traders. It’s common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and sportsbook offerings, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these discrepancies can reveal valuable insights into market perceptions and potential value bets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Stephens vs Liutova match, and the price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people bet on a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of a share indicates the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and predictions from traders.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Stephens vs Liutova match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable information to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders or shifts in public opinion could create momentum and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Oct 25, 2026 resolution.