TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rose Marie Nijkamp and Alina Shcherbinina in the W100 Edmond, OK, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rose Marie Nijkamp' if Rose Marie Nijkamp advances against Alina Shcherbinina. This market will resolve to 'Alina Shcherbinina' if Alina Shcherbinina advances against Rose Marie Nijkamp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rose Marie Nijkamp and Alina Shcherbinina in the W100 Edmond, OK, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rose Marie Nijkamp' if Rose Marie Nijkamp advances against Alina Shcherbinina. This market will resolve to 'Alina Shcherbinina' if Alina Shcherbinina advances against Rose Marie Nijkamp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their beliefs. Therefore, you may find discrepancies between the implied probability on Polymarket and the odds offered by sportsbooks for the Nijkamp vs Shcherbinina match. These differences can arise from varying information access or differing interpretations of the players’ strengths and weaknesses.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Nijkamp vs Shcherbinina match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that outcome occurring. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nijkamp vs Shcherbinina match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which player won the match and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing player will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or personal matters affecting either Nijkamp or Shcherbinina could also have an impact. Furthermore, major upsets in other related tennis tournaments might cause traders to reassess the relative strengths of the players, leading to adjustments in the market price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.