TOTAL VOLUME:
$155b
24H VOL:
$321,553,888
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,001,463,625
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,994,878,661
419,895
Markets across
39,929
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elvina Kalieva and Kristina Penickova in the W100 Edmond, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 4:20PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elvina Kalieva' if Elvina Kalieva advances against Kristina Penickova. This market will resolve to 'Kristina Penickova' if Kristina Penickova advances against Elvina Kalieva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elvina Kalieva and Kristina Penickova in the W100 Edmond, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 4:20PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elvina Kalieva' if Elvina Kalieva advances against Kristina Penickova. This market will resolve to 'Kristina Penickova' if Kristina Penickova advances against Elvina Kalieva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in situations where public sentiment shifts quickly.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective forecast. The market's depth – the number of shares available to buy or sell at different prices – also indicates the level of confidence in each outcome. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kalieva vs Penickova match, as reported by a recognized authority in the sport. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy for either Kalieva or Penickova could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in public sentiment about their performance, could also play a role. Even seemingly minor developments, such as pre-match interviews or social media activity, can sometimes trigger movements in the market as traders react to new information.