TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 4:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dana Guzman and Caroline Dolehide in the W100 Edmond, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dana Guzman' if Dana Guzman advances against Caroline Dolehide. This market will resolve to 'Caroline Dolehide' if Caroline Dolehide advances against Dana Guzman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dana Guzman and Caroline Dolehide in the W100 Edmond, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dana Guzman' if Dana Guzman advances against Caroline Dolehide. This market will resolve to 'Caroline Dolehide' if Caroline Dolehide advances against Dana Guzman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or indicate differing levels of confidence in a particular outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a specific outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of that outcome occurring. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price, indicating decreasing confidence. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guzman vs Dolehide match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches or tournaments could also lead to adjustments in the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring sports news and analyzing player statistics are key to understanding potential catalysts for movement in this market.