TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Arantxa Rus and Alina Shcherbinina in the W100 Edmond, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arantxa Rus' if Arantxa Rus advances against Alina Shcherbinina. This market will resolve to 'Alina Shcherbinina' if Alina Shcherbinina advances against Arantxa Rus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arantxa Rus and Alina Shcherbinina in the W100 Edmond, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arantxa Rus' if Arantxa Rus advances against Alina Shcherbinina. This market will resolve to 'Alina Shcherbinina' if Alina Shcherbinina advances against Arantxa Rus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, we often see the prediction market odds move in the opposite direction. However, as the event approaches, these odds tend to converge as new information becomes available and more traders participate in this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the match between Rus and Shcherbinina.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Arantxa Rus and Alina Shcherbinina as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual winner of the match. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player could also cause movement. Furthermore, analysis from tennis experts and public polling data, if they suggest a different likely outcome than currently priced in, could lead to increased trading activity and a change in the odds for this market. The closer we get to Oct 21, 2026, the more sensitive the market will be to new information.