TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional KNVB soccer match between Vpv Purmersteijn and Gemert, focusing solely on the result after regulation time. It determines whether either team wins within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or if the game ends in a tie. The market does not consider outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts.
The market resolves based on the result of the Vpv Purmersteijn vs Gemert professional KNVB soccer game scheduled for October 29, 2026, after exactly 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding any extra time periods or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Vpv Purmersteijn, a win for Gemert, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regulation time, the corresponding market will resolve to 'Yes.' Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market will resolve to 'Yes.' In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original schedule, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks referenced remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs and potentially identify mispriced probabilities. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can reveal insights into public perception and potential value opportunities, though this market represents a distinct view from traditional betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of Vpv Purmersteijn winning in regulation time. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the outcome, driven by informed traders and evolving information.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Vpv Purmersteijn vs Gemert match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100 if Vpv Purmersteijn wins in regulation time, and to 0 if they do not. The resolution will be based on the official result as determined by the governing soccer league and reported by widely recognized sports news outlets. Any overtime or penalty shootouts will not be considered for the purposes of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 29, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Vpv Purmersteijn or Gemert would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, or news regarding team tactics and starting lineups, could play a role in how this market evolves. Any significant public information impacting the perceived likelihood of Vpv Purmersteijn winning would be reflected in the price.