TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 7:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Japan's J2 League between two teams competing for a win. The result is determined solely by the final score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Vortis vs Vanraure Hachinohe professional Japan J2 League soccer match scheduled for October 21, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the associated team wins the game within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following predefined procedures. The resolution exclusively considers the outcome after normal time, with no account for extra time, penalty kicks, or other post-regulation proceedings.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially anticipating shifts that sportsbooks may be slower to incorporate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a constantly updated view of expectations for the Vortis vs Vanraure Hachinohe match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Vortis vs Vanraure Hachinohe match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100 for the winning outcome, and 0 for all others. The resolution will be based on the official result as declared by the governing soccer league or organization, ensuring a clear and objective determination of the winner. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match result to understand the settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 21, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions affecting gameplay, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could all cause the market to react. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or managerial decisions could also lead to price movements. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning is likely to be reflected in the trading volume and contract prices of this market.