TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 3:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Volendam and Vitesse. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The market will account for potential game cancellations or rescheduling, resolving to a fair price if such events occur more than 48 hours after the original date.
The event resolves based on the result of the Volendam vs Vitesse professional Eerste Divisie soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Volendam wins under Rule 1, Vitesse wins under Rule 2, or the match ends in a tie under Rule 3. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, as only the result after regular time and stoppage minutes is considered. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. Frequently, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there’s significant uncertainty or subjective information involved. However, sportsbook odds can be useful for comparison and identifying potential value discrepancies in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Volendam vs Vitesse match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current trading volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding each potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Volendam vs Vitesse match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body, ensuring a transparent and objective determination. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the final result. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the event.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 9, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the teams’ performance can impact trading activity. Major upsets in other related matches or changes in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks might also prompt traders to reassess their positions in this market, leading to price fluctuations.