TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Serbian SuperLiga between two teams. The result will be determined based on the performance of the teams during the standard regulation time of the game. Any changes to the scheduled date or cancellation will be handled according to specific fairness guidelines.
The event determines the winner of a Serbian SuperLiga soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, between Vojvodina Novi Sad and Radnicki Kragujevac. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Vojvodina Novi Sad wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Radnicki Kragujevac wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the governing rules. The event explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootouts from determining outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. As more people participate, the odds here can converge towards what many believe is the true probability of each outcome. It’s common to see differences, especially early on, as the prediction market incorporates a broader range of perspectives than a traditional sportsbook.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, real-time auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Vojvodina Novi Sad versus Radnicki Kragujevac match. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information from a diverse range of participants, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than static predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vojvodina Novi Sad versus Radnicki Kragujevac match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a Vojvodina Novi Sad win, a Radnicki Kragujevac win, or a draw – actually occurred during the game. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role. Furthermore, the performance of each team in their preceding matches, as well as any public statements from key players or managers, might impact trading activity. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can cause rapid price adjustments, reflecting a change in market sentiment.