TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 05d:18h:25m
$
In the upcoming match between Vitória SC and FC Porto, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Vitória SC" if Vitória SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Porto" if FC Porto are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Vitória SC and FC Porto, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Vitória SC" if Vitória SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Porto" if FC Porto are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy emerges between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, arbitrage opportunities may arise for informed traders. It’s common to see prediction markets converge towards what many believe is the ‘true’ probability as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Vitória SC or FC Porto will score first. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of each outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team taking the early lead. The current price indicates the collective prediction of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Vitória SC vs. FC Porto match. Official match data from recognized sports authorities will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the first team to score, based on the final market prices at the time of resolution. The outcome is determined by the official result of the match, not by any subjective interpretation.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Vitória SC or FC Porto would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, recent match results, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about tactical changes or starting lineups could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations, potentially leading to a rapid price movement in this market.