TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 7:42 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primeira Liga game between Vitória SC and CS Marítimo, scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Vitória SC vs. CS Marítimo match originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primeira Liga game between Vitória SC and CS Marítimo, scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Vitória SC vs. CS Marítimo match originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction market participants are incentivized to express their genuine beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate assessment of probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information is incorporated. It’s common to see discrepancies, with this market potentially offering different implied probabilities than those available elsewhere.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each exact score. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand for these shares, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Vitória SC vs. CS Marítimo match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football authority. The market will settle to 100% for the correct exact score and 0% for all other possibilities. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equal to their share multiplied by the remaining probability at resolution.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Vitória SC or CS Marítimo would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical announcements from the managers, could influence traders' beliefs and lead to price adjustments. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of a specific exact score has the potential to move this market.