TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Vitória SC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora
Volume:
$87,950
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Liga Portugal professional soccer match between Vitória SC (Guimaraes) and CF Estrela da Amadora scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the final result (win/loss/draw) based on 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Tie, Guimaraes win, Estrela Amadora win) are stated to resolve to Yes. Additionally, team name inconsistency exists between platforms (Guimaraes vs. Vitória SC), creating data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi market until clarification is provided by the platform. The market structure is fundamentally unresolvable as written. Use Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Vitória SC win, draw, Estrela Amadora win) as the authoritative settlement reference. Cross-reference official Liga Portugal records to confirm whether Vitória SC and Guimaraes are the same entity or different teams.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three independent binary markets: (1) Vitória SC win resolves Yes if Vitória SC wins, No otherwise; (2) Draw resolves Yes if game ends in draw, No otherwise; (3) Estrela Amadora win resolves Yes if Estrela Amadora wins, No otherwise. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation without makeup resolves draw market to Yes, others to No.
- Kalshi: Single market states: If Tie wins OR Guimaraes wins OR Estrela Amadora wins, then resolves to Yes. This is logically impossible since exactly one outcome occurs. Team name is 'Guimaraes' not 'Vitória SC'. Quote: 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Guimaraes wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Estrela Amadora wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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