TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 0.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 0.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 6, 2026
Time left: 04d:00h:03m
$
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Vitoria and Fluminense. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, providing insight into the match's offensive intensity. It reflects the competitive nature of the game without predicting the exact scoreline.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Vitoria vs Fluminense Brasileiro Serie A match scheduled for November 6, 2026. Each threshold—ranging from over 0.5 to over 5.5 goals—is assessed after the full 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded from consideration. A 'Yes' outcome for any threshold occurs only if the cumulative goals meet or exceed that specific level. The rules consistently apply league-standard timing and scoring criteria across all thresholds, ensuring uniform evaluation regardless of the goal count. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like promotional offers or biases, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs through trading. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, but comparing them directly to sportsbook odds requires careful consideration of the differing methodologies and incentives at play. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different processes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored in the Vitoria vs Fluminense match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The goal is for the market price to converge towards the true probability of the event occurring, incentivizing accurate predictions.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Vitoria vs Fluminense match will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders who held contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will be paid out according to the market price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Vitoria or Fluminense would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Additionally, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches could shift market sentiment. Finally, even general public perception and betting trends in sportsbooks can indirectly influence trading behavior on Kalshi.